Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Dober vs George Staines

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record10-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
70″Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamHit Squad Hull

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Drew DoberNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
George StainesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.63
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.07
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Drew DoberGeorge Staines
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (59%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
5 (17%)
Submission
3 (30%)
7 (24%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

George Staines66%
Drew Dober 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes George Staines a 66% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1707), separated by just 6 points.

Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.

George Staines enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, George Staines 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.