Drew Dober vs Yan Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
70″Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew DoberYan Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Drew Dober66%
Yan Cabral 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 66% favorite over Yan Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yan Cabral's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1702), separated by just 1 points.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Yan Cabral enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Yan Cabral 93%.
Yan Cabral carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.