Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew McFedries vs Ryan Loder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Loder
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Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Champions GymTeamApex Wrestling Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Drew McFedriesNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Ryan LoderNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
5.76
51%
Strike accuracy
71%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
52%
Strike defense
50%
1.42
Takedown avg.
1.57
100%
Takedown accuracy
14%
56%
Takedown defense
100%
0.71
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Drew McFedriesRyan Loder
155016001650201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Loder57%
Drew McFedries 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 57% favorite over Drew McFedries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1590), separated by just 4 points.

Drew McFedries enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Drew McFedries finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.