Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Pendleton vs Jarno Errens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record15-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Thriving

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Drew PendletonNow 1591
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567
Jarno ErrensNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Drew PendletonJarno Errens
15501600165020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
2 (40%)
Submission
5 (33%)
1 (20%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Drew Pendleton62%
Jarno Errens 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Drew Pendleton a 62% favorite over Jarno Errens in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jarno Errens's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1595), separated by just 4 points.

Drew Pendleton enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Drew Pendleton finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jarno Errens 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.