Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Jack Marshman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record23-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamTillery Combat MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Jack MarshmanNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
58%
Strike accuracy
26%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.19
48%
Strike defense
57%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0
21%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
20%
0.35
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićJack Marshman
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
13 (57%)
4 (31%)
Submission
5 (22%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović62%
Jack Marshman 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 62% favorite over Jack Marshman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.

Jack Marshman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jack Marshman 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.