Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Jesse Bongfeldt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record17-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamCanadian Martial Arts Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Jesse BongfeldtNow 1621
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
58%
Strike accuracy
62%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.01
48%
Strike defense
50%
1.77
Takedown avg.
1.51
21%
Takedown accuracy
33%
43%
Takedown defense
33%
0.35
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićJesse Bongfeldt
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
4 (31%)
Submission
10 (59%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović63%
Jesse Bongfeldt 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 63% favorite over Jesse Bongfeldt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.

Jesse Bongfeldt enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Bongfeldt 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.