Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs John Phillips

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Phillips

John Phillips

“The Welsh Wrecking Machine”

22-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record22-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach75,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
John PhillipsNow 1623
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.72
58%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.03
48%
Strike defense
49%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0
21%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
8%
0.35
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićJohn Phillips
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
20 (91%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (9%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović66%
John Phillips 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 66% favorite over John Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Phillips's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.

John Phillips enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, John Phillips 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.