Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Hazelett vs Elias Silverio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record20-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamElias Silverio Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin HazelettNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Elias SilverioNow 1589
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-12→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
40%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
47%
Strike defense
52%
0.55
Takedown avg.
1.62
50%
Takedown accuracy
38%
25%
Takedown defense
86%
4.14
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Dustin HazelettElias Silverio
160016502009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
9 (75%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (17%)
Decision
14 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Hazelett58%
Elias Silverio 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Hazelett a 58% favorite over Elias Silverio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.

Dustin Hazelett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dustin Hazelett finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Elias Silverio 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.