Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Jacoby vs Rob Wilkinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dustin Jacoby
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Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-9-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1711Good

Tale of the tape

22-9-1Record20-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
76"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamHybrid Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin JacobyNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
Rob WilkinsonNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
48%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.66
58%
Strike defense
39%
0.32
Takedown avg.
4.47
25%
Takedown accuracy
25%
62%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dustin JacobyRob Wilkinson
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (68%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
1 (5%)
Submission
7 (35%)
6 (27%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Rob Wilkinson53%
Dustin Jacoby 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rob Wilkinson a 53% favorite over Dustin Jacoby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Jacoby's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1707), separated by just 4 points.

Dustin Jacoby enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Rob Wilkinson 90%.

Rob Wilkinson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.