Dustin Neace vs Lorenzo de Nigris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-21-1Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Damage IncorporatedTeamLigorio Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin NeaceLorenzo de Nigris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lorenzo de Nigris60%
Dustin Neace 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 60% favorite over Dustin Neace in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Neace's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1501), separated by just 7 points.
Dustin Neace finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.