Dustin Neace vs Matteo Martignoni
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-21-1Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Damage IncorporatedTeamAurora MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496
If they win+24→ 1536
If they lose-24→ 1488
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin NeaceMatteo Martignoni
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matteo Martignoni60%
Dustin Neace 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Matteo Martignoni a 60% favorite over Dustin Neace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1512), separated by just 4 points.
Dustin Neace finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matteo Martignoni 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.