Dustin Pague vs Paula Sanchez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-11-0Record1-1-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'3"
TBDReach-
152 lbsWeight130 lbs
Disciple MMATeamSutemi MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1522
If they lose-16→ 1490
If they win+24→ 1535
If they lose-24→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin PaguePaula Sanchez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paula Sanchez64%
Dustin Pague 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Paula Sanchez a 64% favorite over Dustin Pague in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1511), separated by just 5 points.
Dustin Pague finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.