Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Nissen Osterneck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamRelson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Nissen OsterneckNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
58%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
48%
Strike defense
41%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0.63
21%
Takedown accuracy
13%
43%
Takedown defense
43%
0.35
Submission avg.
1.26

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićNissen Osterneck
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
4 (31%)
Submission
7 (54%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović60%
Nissen Osterneck 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 60% favorite over Nissen Osterneck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Nissen Osterneck 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.