Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Vitor Vianna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record12-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach67"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamWand Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Vitor ViannaNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.99
58%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
48%
Strike defense
54%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0.82
21%
Takedown accuracy
33%
43%
Takedown defense
39%
0.35
Submission avg.
1.85

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićVitor Vianna
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
4 (31%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović57%
Vitor Vianna 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 57% favorite over Vitor Vianna in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vitor Vianna's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.

Vitor Vianna enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Vianna 75%.

Duško Todorović carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.