Dylan Budka vs Roger Narvaez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
75″ReachTBD
189 lbsWeight185 lbs
Demolition Fight TeamTeamFull Contact Fight Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dylan BudkaRoger Narvaez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dylan Budka52%
Roger Narvaez 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Budka a 52% favorite over Roger Narvaez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Narvaez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1573), separated by just 2 points.
Dylan Budka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roger Narvaez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dylan Budka finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Roger Narvaez 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.