Combat Edge Intelligence

Dylan Budka vs Tony Fryklund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dylan Budka
us

Dylan Budka

“The Mindless Hulk”

7-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1571Solid

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record14-9-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75″ReachTBD
189 lbsWeight155 lbs
Demolition Fight TeamTeamMiletich Fighting Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dylan BudkaNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Tony FryklundNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
6.30
44%
Strike accuracy
59%
1.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
19.97
41%
Strike defense
44%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
67%
0.40
Submission avg.
1.48

Trajectory

Dylan BudkaTony Fryklund
150015501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
2 (29%)
Submission
7 (50%)
4 (57%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dylan Budka63%
Tony Fryklund 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Budka a 63% favorite over Tony Fryklund in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1569), separated by just 2 points.

Dylan Budka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dylan Budka finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Tony Fryklund 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.