Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebenezer Fontes Braga vs Predrag Božović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-2Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
199 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gracie Barra Combat TeamTeamMMA Team Zabjelo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ebenezer Fontes BragaNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518
Predrag BožovićNow 1526
If they win+25→ 1551
If they lose-23→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ebenezer Fontes BragaPredrag Božović
15502002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (100%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Predrag Božović53%
Ebenezer Fontes Braga 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Predrag Božović a 53% favorite over Ebenezer Fontes Braga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ebenezer Fontes Braga's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1526), separated by just 8 points.

Ebenezer Fontes Braga finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.