Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Pete Spratt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pete Spratt
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Pete Spratt

“The Secret Weapon”

25-24-0WelterweightFFC

1483Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record25-24-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamTeam Spratt

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Pete SprattNow 1483
If they win+12→ 1495
If they lose-12→ 1471

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
58%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
46%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.43

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
17 (68%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud72%
Pete Spratt 28%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 72% favorite over Pete Spratt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pete Spratt's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1483), separated by just 12 points.

Pete Spratt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Pete Spratt 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.