Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Gordon vs Marcio Alexandre Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-7-0Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamAstra Fight Team

What's at stake

Eddie Gordon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marcio Alexandre Junior carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eddie GordonNow 1491
If they win+15→ 1506
If they lose-17→ 1474
Marcio Alexandre JuniorNow 1467
If they win+26→ 1493
If they lose-22→ 1445

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
1.93
Takedown avg.
TBD
83%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eddie GordonMarcio Alexandre Junior
1450150020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
1 (13%)
Submission
5 (31%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eddie Gordon and Marcio Alexandre Junior within a point of even.

Eddie Gordon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1467, a 24-point edge.

Eddie Gordon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eddie Gordon finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.