Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Mendez vs Fraser Paterson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-1Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
House of ChampionsTeamGriphouse

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eddie MendezNow 1553
If they win+17→ 1570
If they lose-15→ 1538
Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+23→ 1587
If they lose-25→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
11%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eddie MendezFraser Paterson
15502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
1 (13%)
Submission
1 (50%)
4 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson81%
Eddie Mendez 19%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 81% favorite over Eddie Mendez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1564), separated by just 11 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Eddie Mendez finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.