Combat Edge Intelligence

Edgar Cháirez vs Mateus Mendonça

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
71"ReachTBD
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Entram GymTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edgar CháirezNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Mateus MendonçaNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
1.66
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
46%
Strike defense
30%
0
Takedown avg.
2.54
0%
Takedown accuracy
27%
39%
Takedown defense
56%
1.31
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Edgar CháirezMateus Mendonça
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
9 (64%)
Submission
5 (45%)
1 (7%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Edgar Cháirez62%
Mateus Mendonça 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Cháirez a 62% favorite over Mateus Mendonça in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mateus Mendonça's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1656), separated by just 4 points.

Edgar Cháirez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Edgar Cháirez finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Mateus Mendonça 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.