Combat Edge Intelligence

Edivan Santos vs Felipe Franco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
45,0"Reach76"
246 lbsWeight205 lbs
Espaco Religiao da LutaTeamGalpao da Luta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edivan SantosNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Felipe FrancoNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.55
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
49%
Strike accuracy
51%
7.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
26%
Strike defense
38%
0
Takedown avg.
3.02
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
25%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Edivan SantosFelipe Franco
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (78%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
4 (22%)
Submission
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Franco70%
Edivan Santos 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 70% favorite over Edivan Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edivan Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Edivan Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Edivan Santos finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Franco 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.