Combat Edge Intelligence

Edivan Santos vs Thomas Petersen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
45,0"Reach74"
246 lbsWeight257 lbs
Espaco Religiao da LutaTeamSpartan MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edivan SantosNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Thomas PetersenNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.55
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
49%
Strike accuracy
60%
7.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
26%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
3.01
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
25%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Edivan SantosThomas Petersen
165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (78%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
4 (22%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Thomas Petersen62%
Edivan Santos 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Petersen a 62% favorite over Edivan Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edivan Santos's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1639), separated by just 8 points.

Edivan Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Edivan Santos finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.