Edson Barboza vs Paul Sass
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record14-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Kaobon
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edson BarbozaPaul Sass
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Sass56%
Edson Barboza 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Sass a 56% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edson Barboza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1682), separated by just 0 points.
Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Paul Sass 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.