Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Machavane vs Kenji Osawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record20-11-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Creonte BJJ GymTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edson MachavaneNow 1596
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
Kenji OsawaNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
68%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Edson MachavaneKenji Osawa
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
3 (43%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (29%)
Decision
14 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Machavane60%
Kenji Osawa 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Machavane a 60% favorite over Kenji Osawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kenji Osawa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.

Edson Machavane enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Edson Machavane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kenji Osawa 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.