Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Pamplona vs Ernesto Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black HouseTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo PamplonaNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Ernesto RodriguezNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eduardo PamplonaErnesto Rodriguez
160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
3 (19%)
Submission
1 (9%)
8 (50%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Ernesto Rodriguez70%
Eduardo Pamplona 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ernesto Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Eduardo Pamplona in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eduardo Pamplona's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1679), separated by just 0 points.

Ernesto Rodriguez enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Eduardo Pamplona finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ernesto Rodriguez 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.