Combat Edge Intelligence

Edwin Figueroa vs Paddy Rutledge

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Mohler MMATeamSutemi MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edwin FigueroaNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535
Paddy RutledgeNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0.20
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
37%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.60
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Edwin FigueroaPaddy Rutledge
15502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Paddy Rutledge78%
Edwin Figueroa 22%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Rutledge a 78% favorite over Edwin Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edwin Figueroa's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1546), separated by just 5 points.

Edwin Figueroa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Edwin Figueroa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Rutledge 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.