Combat Edge Intelligence

Egidijus Valavicius vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record5-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Flawless MMATeamRasteira Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Egidijus ValaviciusNow 1626
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Levi Rodrigues Jr.Now 1622
If they win+24→ 1646
If they lose-24→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Egidijus ValaviciusLevi Rodrigues Jr.
155016001650201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

18 (62%)
KO/TKO
5 (100%)
6 (21%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Levi Rodrigues Jr.67%
Egidijus Valavicius 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Levi Rodrigues Jr. a 67% favorite over Egidijus Valavicius in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Egidijus Valavicius's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1622), separated by just 4 points.

Levi Rodrigues Jr. enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Egidijus Valavicius finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Levi Rodrigues Jr. 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.