Combat Edge Intelligence

Eiji Mitsuoka vs Josh Culibao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eiji Mitsuoka
jp

Eiji Mitsuoka

“The Heaven-Sent Child of the Cage”

18-9-2FeatherweightUFC

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-2Record11-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Wajutsu Keishukai RJWTeamIgor MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eiji MitsuokaNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Josh CulibaoNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
9.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
46%
Strike defense
60%
1.35
Takedown avg.
0
17%
Takedown accuracy
0%
20%
Takedown defense
66%
1.35
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Eiji MitsuokaJosh Culibao
1650201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
9 (50%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (22%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Culibao58%
Eiji Mitsuoka 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Culibao a 58% favorite over Eiji Mitsuoka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eiji Mitsuoka's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Eiji Mitsuoka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eiji Mitsuoka finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Josh Culibao 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.