Combat Edge Intelligence

Eldar Munapov vs Matt Bessette

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record25-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach39,0"
137 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eldar MunapovNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Matt BessetteNow 1663
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.64
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
61%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Eldar MunapovMatt Bessette
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
8 (32%)
6 (60%)
Submission
9 (36%)
3 (30%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Eldar Munapov71%
Matt Bessette 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eldar Munapov a 71% favorite over Matt Bessette in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1663), separated by just 0 points.

Eldar Munapov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Eldar Munapov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Matt Bessette 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.