Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Boudegzdame vs Yoshiro Maeda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record39-19-3
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight128 lbs
La Bonne EcoleTeamPancrase Inagakigumi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias BoudegzdameNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Yoshiro MaedaNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.86
TBD
Strike accuracy
29%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.96
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
75%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.14

Trajectory

Elias BoudegzdameYoshiro Maeda
1600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
15 (39%)
17 (85%)
Submission
8 (21%)
1 (5%)
Decision
15 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Boudegzdame70%
Yoshiro Maeda 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Boudegzdame a 70% favorite over Yoshiro Maeda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.

Elias Boudegzdame finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Yoshiro Maeda 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.