Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Silverio vs Matt Ricehouse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-10-1Record6-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elias Silverio TeamTeamRodrigo Vaghi Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias SilverioNow 1589
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-12→ 1577
Matt RicehouseNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
1.62
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.20
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elias SilverioMatt Ricehouse
15501600165020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
2 (10%)
Submission
1 (17%)
14 (70%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Ricehouse66%
Elias Silverio 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Ricehouse a 66% favorite over Elias Silverio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Silverio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.

Matt Ricehouse enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elias Silverio finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Matt Ricehouse 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.