Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Silverio vs Omar Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Omar Morales
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Omar Morales

“Venezuelan Fighter”

11-4-0LightweightUFC

1588Solid

Tale of the tape

20-10-1Record11-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elias Silverio TeamTeamThe Goat Shed Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias SilverioNow 1589
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-12→ 1577
Omar MoralesNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.18
52%
Strike defense
58%
1.62
Takedown avg.
0.46
38%
Takedown accuracy
100%
86%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elias SilverioOmar Morales
160016502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (10%)
Submission
5 (45%)
14 (70%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Omar Morales60%
Elias Silverio 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Omar Morales a 60% favorite over Elias Silverio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Silverio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.

Omar Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Elias Silverio finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Omar Morales 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.