Combat Edge Intelligence

Elisha Ellison vs Marek Samociuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
78"Reach76"
265 lbsWeight264 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamUniq Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elisha EllisonNow 1562
If they win+23→ 1585
If they lose-25→ 1537
Marek SamociukNow 1551
If they win+17→ 1568
If they lose-15→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
15.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elisha EllisonMarek Samociuk
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elisha Ellison and Marek Samociuk within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1551), separated by just 11 points.

Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elisha Ellison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marek Samociuk 44%.

Elisha Ellison carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.