Combat Edge Intelligence

Elisha Ellison vs Neil Grove

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Grove

Neil Grove

“Goliath”

12-8-1HeavyweightBFC

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record12-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'6"
78"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight264 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamDaigaku Karate Kai London

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elisha EllisonNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Neil GroveNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.57
Sig. strikes / min
0
33%
Strike accuracy
0%
15.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
41%
Strike defense
100%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
14.29

Trajectory

Elisha EllisonNeil Grove
150015501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
12 (100%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Elisha Ellison70%
Neil Grove 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elisha Ellison a 70% favorite over Neil Grove in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1557), separated by just 5 points.

Neil Grove enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elisha Ellison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Neil Grove 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.