Elisha Ellison vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
78"Reach-
265 lbsWeight240 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
Elisha Ellison is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Sascha Weinpolter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1556
If they lose-26→ 1508
If they win+26→ 1535
If they lose-22→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elisha EllisonSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter66%
Elisha Ellison 34%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 66% favorite over Elisha Ellison in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elisha Ellison's way (46%).
Elisha Ellison holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1534 to 1509, a 25-point edge.
Elisha Ellison enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elisha Ellison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.