Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Alequin vs Niko Price

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Niko Price
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Niko Price

“The Hybrid”

16-11-0WelterweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74″Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFutures MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric AlequinNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Niko PriceNow 1623
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.61
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.98
TBD
Takedown accuracy
28%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Eric AlequinNiko Price
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
2 (29%)
Submission
3 (19%)
5 (71%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Alequin58%
Niko Price 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Alequin a 58% favorite over Niko Price in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Niko Price's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1623), separated by just 3 points.

Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Eric Alequin finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.

Niko Price carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.