Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Jared Gooden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jared Gooden
us

Jared Gooden

“Nite Train”

23-12-0WelterweightPFL

1628Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-1Record23-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'4"
77"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
MMA LabTeamX3 Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric McConicoNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Jared GoodenNow 1628
If they win+12→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
44%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.74
47%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
0.91
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
64%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Eric McConicoJared Gooden
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
3 (27%)
Submission
7 (30%)
4 (36%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric McConico52%
Jared Gooden 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric McConico a 52% favorite over Jared Gooden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1628), separated by just 3 points.

Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gooden 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.