Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Matthieu Duclos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-1Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamVenum Training Camp Paris

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric McConicoNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Matthieu DuclosNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
3.93
44%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.81
47%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eric McConicoMatthieu Duclos
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
3 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthieu Duclos60%
Eric McConico 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthieu Duclos a 60% favorite over Eric McConico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.

Matthieu Duclos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.