Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Scott Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Scott Smith
us

Scott Smith

“Hands of Steel”

18-11-0MiddleweightWCFC

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-1Record18-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamCapital City Fighting Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric McConicoNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Scott SmithNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
44%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
20.87
47%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
64%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.88

Trajectory

Eric McConicoScott Smith
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
15 (83%)
3 (27%)
Submission
3 (17%)
4 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric McConico70%
Scott Smith 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric McConico a 70% favorite over Scott Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Scott Smith 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.