Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric McConico vs Steve Cantwell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-1Record7-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric McConicoNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Steve CantwellNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
44%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.76
47%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
0.65
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
64%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Eric McConicoSteve Cantwell
16001650170020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
3 (27%)
Submission
4 (57%)
4 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric McConico66%
Steve Cantwell 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric McConico a 66% favorite over Steve Cantwell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.

Steve Cantwell enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Eric McConico finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Steve Cantwell 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.