Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Shelton vs Mateus Mendonça

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
36,5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team IndianapolisTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric SheltonNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Mateus MendonçaNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
1.66
43%
Strike accuracy
40%
1.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
64%
Strike defense
30%
2.83
Takedown avg.
2.54
52%
Takedown accuracy
27%
46%
Takedown defense
56%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Eric SheltonMateus Mendonça
160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
5 (28%)
Submission
5 (45%)
9 (50%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Mateus Mendonça62%
Eric Shelton 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mateus Mendonça a 62% favorite over Eric Shelton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1656), separated by just 4 points.

Eric Shelton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Eric Shelton finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mateus Mendonça 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.