Erick Maia vs Joe Proctor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Labareda TeamTeamTeam Aggression
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erick MaiaJoe Proctor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Maia62%
Joe Proctor 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 62% favorite over Joe Proctor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.
Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Proctor enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erick Maia finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Joe Proctor 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.