Combat Edge Intelligence

Erick Maia vs Terry Etim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Labareda TeamTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erick MaiaNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Terry EtimNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
39%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Erick MaiaTerry Etim
1500155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
6 (67%)
Submission
12 (75%)
1 (11%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Erick Maia62%
Terry Etim 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 62% favorite over Terry Etim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.

Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Erick Maia finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Terry Etim 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.