Erik Silva vs Jonathan Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Antonio Silva Martial ArtsTeamCicero Costa
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erik SilvaJonathan Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Garcia60%
Erik Silva 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Garcia a 60% favorite over Erik Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1583), separated by just 3 points.
Erik Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Erik Silva finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Garcia 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.