Combat Edge Intelligence

Ernesto Rodriguez vs Jim Wallhead

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record33-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73"Reach40,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ernesto RodriguezNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Jim WallheadNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.65
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ernesto RodriguezJim Wallhead
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
13 (39%)
1 (9%)
Submission
10 (30%)
7 (64%)
Decision
10 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Ernesto Rodriguez70%
Jim Wallhead 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ernesto Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Jim Wallhead in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jim Wallhead's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1681), separated by just 2 points.

Ernesto Rodriguez enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Ernesto Rodriguez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Jim Wallhead 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.