Combat Edge Intelligence

Ernesto Rodriguez vs Romie Aram

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ernesto RodriguezNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Romie AramNow 1680
If they win+24→ 1704
If they lose-24→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ernesto RodriguezRomie Aram
1600165017002002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (14%)
7 (64%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Ernesto Rodriguez63%
Romie Aram 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ernesto Rodriguez a 63% favorite over Romie Aram in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Romie Aram's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1680), separated by just 1 points.

Ernesto Rodriguez enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Romie Aram enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Ernesto Rodriguez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Romie Aram 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.