Combat Edge Intelligence

Eslam Abdul Baset vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-2-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
N/AReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black Bulls TeamTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eslam Abdul BasetNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.02
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eslam Abdul BasetMichał Oleksiejczuk
17002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
3 (19%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (38%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk70%
Eslam Abdul Baset 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 70% favorite over Eslam Abdul Baset in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1705), separated by just 4 points.

Eslam Abdul Baset enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Eslam Abdul Baset finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.