Combat Edge Intelligence

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem vs Luke Stewart

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamRalph Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Luke StewartNow 1556
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemLuke Stewart
150015501600200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
2 (33%)
Submission
3 (50%)
3 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem56%
Luke Stewart 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 56% favorite over Luke Stewart in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1556), separated by just 6 points.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Luke Stewart enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Luke Stewart 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.