Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem vs Matt Dwyer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record11-9-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
-Reach44,0"
170 lbsWeight183 lbs
TBDTeamToshido Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1482 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemMatt Dwyer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem56%
Matt Dwyer 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 56% favorite over Matt Dwyer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Dwyer's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1563), separated by just 1 points.
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Matt Dwyer enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Matt Dwyer 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.